MetroWest Chess Club - MCC Independence Swiss
July   7, 14, 21, 28
1998

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Tournament Commentary
Wednesday, December 31, 2008
05:28 PM

Round 4 - July 28, 1998

In the Open section, Igor Foygel 2463 (1) and John Curdo 2320 (2) drew their game to give both players a 3.5 score which resulted in them tying for 1st place.  Tying for second with 3 points were Derek Slater 2138 (4) and Patrick Sciacca 2065 (6)

In the U1800 Section, John McLaughlin 1503 (10) finished first with a perfect 4 points and Mark McMahon 1555 (7) finished second with 3.5 points.

In the U1400 section, Scott Reynaolds 1264 (4) took first place with 3.5 points and James Williams 1396 (3) and Alan Hodge 1156 (6) tied for second with 3 points.

Continuing with my observation noted in the Round 3 commentary regarding the performance of players playing up, we find:

In the U1800 section, of the nine players playing up, only three exceeded the expected score of 1 point.
In the Open section, of the five players playing up, only one exceeded the predicted score of 1 point.

Overall, of the 14 people who played up, 10 managed only one win in four while 4 players did a little bit better than expected with 1.5 or 2 points.

MCC Independence Swiss -- Open                                    Upsets, Page 1
Plc  Round  Diff    Winner                         Ratings     Opponent
 1. Rnd 4   0068 Eldridge,Ross (1.5)..............1768 1836 Ward, Alfred G
MCC Independence Swiss -- U1800                                   Upsets, Page 1
Plc  Round  Diff    Winner                         Ratings     Opponent
 1. Rnd 4   0146 McMahon,Mark (3.5)...............1555 1701 Koning, Menno G
 2. Rnd 4   0095 Ball,Barry (1.5).................1282 1377 Krycka,James A
 3. Rnd 4   0057 Hamre,Matthew T (2.5)............1411 1468 Herman,Franklin B
 4. Rnd 4   0045 McLaughlin,John (4.0)............1503 1548 Kaprielian,Mark
MCC Independence Swiss -- U1400                                   Upsets, Page 1
Plc  Round  Diff    Winner                         Ratings     Opponent
				No upsets

Round 3 - July 21, 1998

Three more people joined in for round 3 to bring this months attendance to 61 players.

In the U1800 section, of the nine players playing up, only three players have more than one point so far.
In the Open section, of the five players playing up, all five have one point or less.

From the chart showing probabilities on the Rating Related Information page, a 200 point difference in rating has a 25% chance of winning.  For most of the players playing up, the rating difference is usually at least 200 points.  If probability hold true, then most of these people have their win already.  We'll take a look and see how things worked out after the next round.

MCC Independence Swiss -- Open                                    Upsets, Page 1
Plc  Round  Diff    Winner                         Ratings     Opponent
 1. Rnd 3   0137 Ryan, W Bradley (2.5)............1947 2084 Chamberlain,John
MCC Independence Swiss -- U1800                                   Upsets, Page 1
 1. Rnd 3   0427 Niarhos, John (2.0)..............1214 1641 Barry,Michael
 2. Rnd 3   0063 Kaprielian,Mark (3.0)............1548 1611 Lee,Phillip
MCC Independence Swiss -- U1400                                   Upsets, Page 1
Plc  Round  Diff    Winner                         Ratings     Opponent
 1. Rnd 3   0105 Reynolds,Scott (3.0).............1264 1369 Williams,James

Round 2 - July 14, 1998

Seven more people joined in for round 2 to bring our total so far to 58 players for this event.  Not too many upsets this round but the two in the U1800 section wer pretty significant.

MCC Independence Swiss -- Open                                    Upsets, Page 1
Plc  Round  Diff    Winner                         Ratings     Opponent
 1. Rnd 2   0160 Eldridge, Larry (1.0)............1735 1895 Greenbaum, Britt
 2. Rnd 2   0107 Michael, William G (1.0).........1729 1836 Ward, Alfred G

MCC Independence Swiss -- U1800                                   Upsets, Page 1
Plc  Round  Diff    Winner                         Ratings     Opponent
 1. Rnd 2   0415 Rice,Alexander J (1.5)...........1185 1600 Beck,Alan
 2. Rnd 2   0195 McLaughlin,John (2.0)............1503 1698 Alarie, Donna
MCC Independence Swiss -- U1400                                   Upsets, Page 1
Plc  Round  Diff    Winner                         Ratings     Opponent
 1. Rnd 2   0057 Chui,Travis (1.5)................1058 1115 Thompson, Ethan

Round 1 - July 7, 1998

This month we start off our event with 51 players.  Nine of these players are first time attendees to our club.  This month is the first event where we are holding three sections.  As expected at our club, a large number of people are playing up.  Five people are playing up in the Open section while Six are playing up in the Under 1800 section.  The sections are reasonable well filled out considering the low number of club players (41) in attendance so far, with 18 players in the Open, 21 on the U1800 and 12 in the U1400.  If no one were playing up, each section would have close to 16 players, the minimum, ideal amount for a 4 round swiss.

The Open section has a pretty strong field with three Masters and five experts.

MCC Independence Swiss -- Open                                    Upsets, Page 1
Plc  Round  Diff    Winner                         Ratings     Opponent
 1. Rnd 1   0442 Astrachan, Edward (1.0)..........1836 2278 Frenklakh,Valery
 2. Rnd 1   0299 Penta, Jeff George (1.0).........1785 2084 Chamberlain,John
MCC Independence Swiss -- U1800                                   Upsets, Page 1
Plc  Round  Diff    Winner                         Ratings     Opponent
 1. Rnd 1   0260 Lee,Christopher (1.0)............1254 1514 Gellert,Jason
 2. Rnd 1   0236 Franck, Homer L (1.0)............1465 1701 Koning, Menno G
MCC Independence Swiss -- U1400                                   Upsets, Page 1
Plc  Round  Diff    Winner                         Ratings     Opponent
 1. Rnd 1   0409 Emans,Charles (1.0)..............0984 1393 Powers,Tom